A startup's first 14 days predict how its entire raise ends. We can prove it.
We tested it out of sample across 6,300+ offerings. The fastest-starting quartile finished strong 96% of the time. The slowest quartile? 12%.
The signal holds up year after year (AUC 0.88 to 0.92). Momentum isn't a vibe. It's measurable, and it's predictive.
To be clear, this predicts the raise, not the investment return.
A question for the operators: if the first two weeks are this decisive, is a slow-starting campaign already finished, or can a raise still be saved once it stalls?
Comment "CCLEAR" and I'll send you the full brief.
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